Match Info

Stars League - Round 26

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Gharraf		Arbil

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.15	1.72
	4.59	3.28	1.7
	4.7	3.39	1.71	Watch
	4.75	3	1.7
	4.8	3.28	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (4.66)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
19.2%

Draw
28%

Arbil
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

27.2%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26.5%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Al Gharraf - Arbil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3).

Al-Gharraf is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arbil is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arbil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arbil is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Gharraf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Newroz - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Karma - Al-Gharraf	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
31.03.26	Arbil - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Naft Maysan - Arbil	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Arbil - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Duhok - Arbil	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Arbil - Al-Minaa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.11.25	Arbil - Al-Gharraf	2:1

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