Match Info
Stars League - Round 25Date: 31 March 2026, TuesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
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Al-Qasim |
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Diyala |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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9.8 |
4.25 |
1.28 |
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9.24 |
4.71 |
1.28 |
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9.64 |
4.75 |
1.28 |
 Watch |
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10 |
4.2 |
1.29 |
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10.4 |
4.45 |
1.28 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.82 ↑
(6.99) |
4.47 ↑
(4.08) |
1.28 ↓
(1.42) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Qasim
9.2% | Draw
20.2% | Diyala
70.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diyala's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-27.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diyala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Qasim will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Diyala will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Al-Qasim (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Qasim (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Abd A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 53', 0 - 2, Opare C. ⚽,
- 60', 0 - 3, Opare C. ⚽,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Sabarah A. M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.Al-Qasim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Diyala is the clear favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Diyala | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 46 |
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| 20 | Al-Qassim ✔ | 36 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 20:91 | -71 | 6 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 30.12.25 | Diyala - Al-Qasim | 3:0 | | 19.06.25 | Al-Qasim - Diyala | 0:1 | | 05.10.24 | Diyala - Al-Qasim | 0:1 |
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