Match Info

Stars League - Round 27

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Naft		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.1	4.65
	1.68	3.03	4.68
	1.72	3.23	4.93	Watch
	1.7	3	4.6
	1.73	3.15	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.97)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	4.74 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
52.3%

Draw
28.8%

Al-Gharraf
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.6%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Naft's performance.

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharraf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Al Naft - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ali M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Khalaf H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Al-Naft is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Gharraf's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Al-Naft has had a series of away games.

Al-Naft could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
05.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
30.03.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Naft	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45.8 TTWTW
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
05.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Arbil	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Newroz - Al-Gharraf	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Karma - Al-Gharraf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft	2:0

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