Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Al-Madina Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, beIN Sports MENA AFC 3, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya		Al-Taawoun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.6	3.2	2.05
	3.57	3.23	2.02
	3.35	3.27	2.06
	3.47	3.34	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.69)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
26.4%

Draw
28.6%

Al-Taawoun
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's form might have worsened.

Al-Taawoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taawoun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Taawoun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Al Taawoun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ibadi Jabbar A. (G) 17. Saadoon M. 48. Hanoon R. 4. Mashaan H. 29. Kilota G. 13. Resan B. (C) 7. Hadi S. 30. Waleed M. 10. Ahmed H. 25. Ameer S. 9. Abdulnabi A.	1. Mailson (G) 3. Andrei Girotto 93. Al Saluli A. 32. Al Mufarrij M. 24. Flavio 18. El Mahdioui A. (C) 76. Fajr F. 16. Rivas R. 10. Mateus 9. Adam A. 99. Barrow M.
Substitutes
5. Fawzi Y. 33. Mohammad Sadeq 12. Mohammed H. (G) 26. Qosim Nassif M. 24. Ridha F. 77. Sami M.	21. Al Abdulraziq F. 6. Al Farhan S. 33. Al Ghamdi A. 44. Al Harbi A. 14. Al Jumaiya F. 26. Al Shuayl I. 13. Atiah A. (G) 90. Bahebri H. 29. Bahusayn A. 19. Chavez Cruz L. L. 27. Mandash S. 11. Pedro J.
Coaches
Rizik W.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Hanoon R. 🟨,
37', Fajr F. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Andrei Girotto ⚽, Mateus (A),
56', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Al Shuayl I. ↑,
69', Saadoon M. ↓, Sami M. ↑,
78', Waleed M. 🟨,
80', Barrow M. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
80', Adam A. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
81', Mateus ↓, Al Jumaiya F. ↑,
81', Resan B. ↓, Qosim Nassif M. ↑,
87', Hadi S. ↓, Fawzi Y. ↑,
88', Al Shuayl I. 🟨,

Preview

Al-Taawoun is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Taawoun is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Taawoun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.24	Altyn Asyr - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Al Khalidiah - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	4:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Zakho	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Diyala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWTT
- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
30.11.24	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Khalidiah	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.11.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
06.11.24	Altyn Asyr - Al-Taawoun	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
02.10.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2

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