Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 19

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Al Taawon Arena (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	on.cc
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Taawoun		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.55	3.85	5.5
	1.57	4.02	5.89
	1.54	4.17	5.67	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.54	3.74	5.47	Watch
	1.54	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	3.85 ↓ (4.26)	5.47 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taawoun
59.4%

Draw
23.8%

Al Akhdoud
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

20.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Taawoun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Al Taawoun - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Taawoun will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mailson (G) 5. Mahzari M. 24. Sembene M. 55. Al Dossari M. 23. Al Ahmad W. (C) 29. Bahusayn A. 11. Fulgini A. 6. Victor Hugo 19. Zambrano C. 10. Martinez Tobinson R. B. 15. Al Qahtani M.	94. Samuel Portugal (G) 88. Ashi I. 15. Asiri N. 22. Gunter K. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 11. Ince B. 13. Bassogog C. 17. Gul G. 87. Hawsawi G. 93. Nguen T. 7. Narey K.
Substitutes
9. Adam A. 2. Al Alaeli M. 17. Al Aqel M. S. M. 66. Al Hurayji B. 44. Al Marwani A. 25. Al Senaid A. (G) 28. Al Shaifan T. 13. Atiah A. (G) 77. Hawsawi A.	14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 3. Al Salem A. 8. Al Zabdani H. 18. Pedroza J.
Coaches
Chamusca P.	Sumudica M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
20', Narey K. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Asiri N. 🟨,
35', Sembene M. 🟨,
41', Sembene M. ↓, Al Alaeli M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Asiri N. ↓, Pedroza J. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Al Qahtani M. ⚽,
78', Zambrano C. ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
79', Hawsawi G. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
80', Nguen T. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
83', Martinez Tobinson R. B. 🟨,
85', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Hawsawi A. ↑,
86', Bahusayn A. ↓, Al Marwani A. ↑,
86', Ashi I. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In recent matches, Al-Taawoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Akhdoud's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Taawoun is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Taawoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Taawoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taawoun FC
Saudi Professional League
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al Hazem	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWLW
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
26.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud	4:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
13.09.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	2:3
11.04.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	1:1
09.11.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud	1:0
23.02.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud	3:1
29.08.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun	0:1

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