Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 22

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Naft Al-Basra		Karbala

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.21	2.85	3.55
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)	2.85 ↑ (2.77)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Al-Basra
41.6%

Draw
31.8%

Karbala
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

33.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Al-Basra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Naft Al Basra - Karbala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18).

Recent matches Naft Al-Basra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karbala has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Naft Al-Basra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
18.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Naft Al-Basra - Diyala	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Al-Qasim - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWL
- Karbala
Iraqi Premier League
20.02.25	Al-Zawraa - Karbala	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Karbala - Naft Maysan	1:3 ✺
10.02.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Karbala	1:0 ✺
03.02.25	Al-Naft - Karbala	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Karbala - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
01.12.24	Karbala - Naft Al-Basra	2:1

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