Match Info

Stars League - Round 24

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.45	5.9
	1.48	3.82	5.89
	1.53	3.68	5.94	Watch
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.57	3.76	6.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	3.62 ↓ (3.68)	5.95 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
59.7%

Draw
25.1%

Al-Karkh
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Al Karkh Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', Hanoon R. 🟥,
82', 1 - 0, Ajibola D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3.

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Karkh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is the clear favorite.

We predict that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	2	11
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
17.03.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Amanat Baghdad	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Diyala - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
18.03.26	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
15.09.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1
14.03.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	0:1
30.10.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1
05.05.24	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	1:0
11.11.23	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1
05.07.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	2:1
10.02.23	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2

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