The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Shorta Baghdad 44.3%
Draw 30.8%
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
27.8%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
29.5%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Al Mawas M. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Moumouni B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
72', 2 - 1, Ramadhan W. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Farhan A. ⚽,
80', Ahmad H. 🟥,
83', 3 - 2, Al-Subhi E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+12', 3 - 3, Jouini H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 3.
In recent matches, Al-Shorta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Al-Shorta has had a series of away games.
Al-Shorta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shorta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
Iraq
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