Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Rayyan		Persepolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.37
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.34	2.35
	3.03	3.29	2.32
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.12	3.22	2.38
	3	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.69)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	2.33 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Rayyan
31.1%

Draw
28.8%

Persepolis
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

30.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persepolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Al Rayyan - Persepolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Persepolis will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Paulo Victor (G) 2. Naji M. 13. Amaro A. 5. Garcia D. 33. Mahajneh A. 17. Surag M. 4. De Sart J. 6. Hatem A. (C) 8. Trezeguet 77. Bencharki A. 10. Roger Guedes	1. Guendouz A. (G) 3. Faraji F. 6. Kanaani H. 30. Gvelesiani G. 4. Mohammadi M. 31. Joao L. 5. Rigi M. 11. Ahmadzadeh F. 77. Khodabandelou M. 19. Amiri V. (C) 9. Alipour A.
Substitutes
16. Al Harazi A. 20. Ali 14. Bader A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 62. Brenet J. 18. Ginella F. 15. Mansour T. 27. Qaderi A. 55. Saleh M. 1. Younes F. (G)	2. Alishah O. 10. Alkasir I. 37. Barajeh Y. 15. Hoboobati S. 27. Mehri S. 8. Pouraliganji M. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 7. Rafiei S. 21. Sadeghi S. 76. Sahraei S. 80. Salmani Y. 23. Sarlak M.
Coaches
Ali Y.	Garrido J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Faraji F. ⚽, Alipour A. (A),
31', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Guendouz A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Bencharki A. ⚽, Hatem A. (A),
60', Joao L. ↓, Alishah O. ↑,
71', Rigi M. ↓, Mehri S. ↑,
71', Ahmadzadeh F. ↓, Alkasir I. ↑,
71', Surag M. ↓, Ginella F. ↑,
77', Hatem A. 🟨,
80', Amiri V. ↓, Sadeghi S. ↑,
82', Mahajneh A. 🟨,
90', Alishah O. ↓, Salmani Y. ↑,
90+7', Bencharki A. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
90+8', Mahajneh A. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Al-Rayyan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persepolis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Persepolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al-Rayyan have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL
22.11.24	Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
16.11.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Rayyan	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Pakhtakor - Al-Rayyan	0:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
31.10.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Persepolis FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.24	Persepolis - Mes Sungun	3:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
09.11.24	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.24	Persepolis - Al-Gharafa	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
30.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Persepolis - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
29.04.21	Persepolis - Al-Rayyan	4:2
17.04.21	Al-Rayyan - Persepolis	1:3
10.04.17	Persepolis - Al-Rayyan	0:0
14.03.17	Al-Rayyan - Persepolis	3:1

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