Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Persepolis		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4	8
	1.39	4	7.7
	1.43	4.06	7.06	Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.4	4.2	7.7	Watch
	1.42	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	4.07 ↑ (4)	7.28 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persepolis
64.7%

Draw
22.6%

Shams Azar Qazvin
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Persepolis - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Rafiei A. (G) 76. Sahraei S. 30. Gvelesiani G. 8. Pouraliganji M. 4. Mohammadi M. 27. Mehri S. 7. Rafiei S. 23. Sarlak M. 11. Ahmadzadeh F. 9. Alipour A. 19. Amiri V.	1. Rezaei M. A. (G) 2. Sedghi A. 33. Rabizadeh H. 3. Mohammadi M. 77. Azadmanesh A. 34. Fakhreddini M. 66. Azadeh M. 7. Nesaei A. 23. Alousabih S. 11. Fakhrian M. 17. Vaziri A.
Substitutes
2. Alishah O. 10. Al Kathir I. 44. Asadi M. (G) 37. Barage Y. 15. Hoboobati S. 31. Joao L. 5. Rigi M. 21. Sadeghi S.	19. Akbari I. 53. Amiri O. (G) 20. Komar N. 29. Mansouri M. . Mirahmadi R. 6. Rafiei M. 72. Roozitalab S. . Sourgi M. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Alipour A. ⚽, Sahraei S. (A),
16', Mehri S. 🟨,
35', Rafiei S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Vaziri A. ↓, Sourgi M. M. ↑,
58', Mehri S. ↓, Alishah O. ↑,
66', Azadeh M. 🟨,
74', Fakhrian M. 🟨,
77', Rafiei S. ↓, Rigi M. ↑,
77', Alipour A. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
81', Nesaei A. ↓, Komar N. ↑,
89', Fakhrian M. ↓, Zebarjad K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Amiri V. ⚽, Joao L. (A),
90+6', Sarlak M. ↓, Hoboobati S. ↑,
90+6', Rigi M. 🟨,
90+6', Ahmadzadeh F. ↓, Barage Y. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 12).

Persepolis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Shams Azar Qazvin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shams Azar Qazvin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Persepolis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persepolis FC
AFC Champions League
21.10.24	Al-Sadd - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
05.10.24	Persepolis - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Persepolis - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
25.09.24	Esteghlal - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTWW
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
17.10.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Havadar	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
26.09.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Malavan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
28.05.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Persepolis	1:3
24.12.23	Persepolis - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:1

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