Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Al-Sadd		Persepolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.4	4
	2	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.58	4.27
	1.87	3.61	3.94	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.89	3.68	4	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.51)	3.48 ↓ (4.38)	3.94 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Sadd
49.3%

Draw
26.9%

Persepolis
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Sadd's form might have worsened.

Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persepolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sadd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persepolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	33.3%	27.8%

Al Sadd - Persepolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al-Sadd will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Persepolis will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Sadd: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Barsham M. (G) 84. Afif A. (C) 4. Camara M. 17. Cristo 18. Guilherme 16. Khoukhi B. 19. Mujica R. 6. Paulo Otavio 29. Saiss R. 5. Salman T. 88. Uribe M.	1. Guendouz A. (G) 9. Alipour A. 2. Alishah O. (C) 19. Amiri V. 3. Faraji F. 30. Gvelesiani G. 31. Joao L. 4. Mohammadi M. 8. Pouraliganji M. 5. Rigi M. 23. Sarlak M.
Substitutes
9. Abdurisag Y. 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Assadalla A. 31. Baliadeh Y. (G) 21. Giovani 14. Meshaal M. 3. Sayyar A. 37. Suhail A. 7. Waad M.	11. Ahmadzadeh F. 10. Alkasir I. 44. Asadi M. (G) 37. Barage Y. 14. Enayatzadeh A. 15. Hoboobati S. 77. Khodabandelou M. 27. Mehri S. 22. Rafiei A. (G) 7. Rafiei S. 76. Sahraei S. 80. Salmani Y.
Coaches
Sanchez Bas F.	Garrido J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Saiss R. 🟨,
45+1', Faraji F. ↓, Sahraei S. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Uribe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rigi M. 🟨,
65', Rigi M. ↓, Rafiei S. ↑,
65', Amiri V. ↓, Ahmadzadeh F. ↑,
72', Mujica R. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
72', Cristo ↓, Ali H. ↑,
75', Salman T. 🟨,
79', Joao L. ↓, Alkasir I. ↑,
80', Paulo Otavio ↓, Waad M. ↑,
83', Ali H. 🟨,
90+2', Camara M. ↓, Meshaal M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Sadd won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Al-Sadd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Sadd will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
18.10.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Al-Sadd - Esteghlal	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Al Duhail - Al-Sadd	5:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Al Ain - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLT
- Persepolis FC
Iran Pro League
05.10.24	Persepolis - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Persepolis - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
25.09.24	Esteghlal - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
20.09.24	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
27.09.20	Persepolis - Al-Sadd	1:0
20.05.19	Persepolis - Al-Sadd	2:0
12.03.19	Al-Sadd - Persepolis	1:0
23.10.18	Persepolis - Al-Sadd	1:1
02.10.18	Al-Sadd - Persepolis	0:1
16.04.18	Persepolis - Al-Sadd	1:0
20.02.18	Al-Sadd - Persepolis	3:1

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