Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 27 January 2023, Friday


	Al-Safa Beyrut		Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.61	3.4	4.7
	1.67	3.5	5.19
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.66	3.4	4.95	Watch
	1.64	3.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	4.76 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa Beyrut
55.2%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Safa Beyrut have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Al-Safa is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Safa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Safa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
21.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLTT
- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
21.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Hekmeh	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Salam Zgharta	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
09.09.22	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:3
24.04.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	4:0
24.10.20	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:2
26.10.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:0
16.02.17	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	1:4

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