Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 10

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday


	Al-Safa Beyrut		Salam Zgharta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.37	3.72
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	3.73 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa Beyrut
47.9%

Draw
27.8%

Salam Zgharta
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

28%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa Beyrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Salam Zgharta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salam Zgharta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

Al-Safa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salam Zgharta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Al-Safa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Safa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Safa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
04.03.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	1:3 ✺
24.02.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTTL
- Salam Zgharta
Lebanese Premier League
04.03.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
24.02.23	Salam Zgharta - Tripoli	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Salam Zgharta - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
03.02.23	Hekmeh - Salam Zgharta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
21.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1
04.12.22	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:0
31.03.18	Al-Safa Beyrut - Salam Zgharta	1:0

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