Match Info

LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 7

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Salam Zgharta		Hekmeh

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.85
	4.57	3.24	1.79
	4.55	3.32	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.22)	3.17 ↑ (2.86)	1.82 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salam Zgharta
21.1%

Draw
28.8%

Hekmeh
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

31.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

31.8%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salam Zgharta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salam Zgharta's form might have worsened.

Hekmeh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hekmeh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salam Zgharta than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salam Zgharta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hekmeh than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hekmeh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Salam Zgharta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hekmeh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hekmeh will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salam Zgharta won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salam Zgharta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salam Zgharta
Lebanese Premier League
11.02.23	Tadamon Sour - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
03.02.23	Hekmeh - Salam Zgharta	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Tadamon Sour	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Tripoli - Salam Zgharta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL
- Hekmeh FC
Lebanese Premier League
11.02.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
03.02.23	Hekmeh - Salam Zgharta	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Hekmeh - Tripoli	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Hekmeh	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Hekmeh - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
03.02.23	Hekmeh - Salam Zgharta	1:2
18.09.22	Hekmeh - Salam Zgharta	0:1
19.05.16	Salam Zgharta - Hekmeh	4:2

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