Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Al-Safa Beyrut		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.05	4.35	Watch
	1.8	3.27	4.44
	1.76	3.15	4.65
	1.8	3.14	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	4.42 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa Beyrut
50.7%

Draw
28.8%

Tadamon Sour
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadamon Sour than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Al Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Saleh H. ⚽, Haider H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Camara T. ⚽, Kdouh M. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 4.

Al-Safa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tadamon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Safa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Safa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Safa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Tadamon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Jwaya - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
30.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Jwaya	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Cup
18.01.26	Al-Ahed - Tadamon Sour	3:1 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
26.12.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Tadamon Sour	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Tadamon Sour - Hekmeh	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Tadamon Sour - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
21.09.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1
02.07.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	5:2
18.05.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	3:0
18.04.25	Tadamon Sour - Al-Safa Beyrut	0:2
02.03.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	3:1
04.11.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	4:1
04.03.23	Al-Safa Beyrut - Tadamon Sour	1:3

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