Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Al-Madina Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Philippines	Matchday+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Al Ain

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.23	3.42	3.26
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.35)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)	3.12 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
42.1%

Draw
27.8%

Al Ain
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shorta Baghdad's performance.

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Ain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shorta Baghdad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Al Ain will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basil A. (G) 27. Khudhair A. S. 23. Mouddane A. 8. Hashem A. 15. Yahia Alwan A. 14. Moumouni B. 9. Ali H. 5. Amin R. 30. Youssef F. 7. Al Mawas M. 18. Meme (C)	1. Bu Senda M. (G) 4. Cardoso F. 18. Ali K. 23. Butti K. 24. Salomoni F. 5. Park Yong-Woo 13. Barman A. (C) 27. Gassama S. 46. Komari D. 72. Awad M. 29. Infantino G.
Substitutes
4. Al Tekreeti M. Y. H. 36. Banga S. C. 24. Faisal Jasim 10. Farhan A. 22. Kareem M. (G) 29. Mohammed Dawood 25. Qasim A. 12. Raed H. 11. Shakir B. 28. Souza L. 31. Zero A.	30. Abbas H. 17. Eisa K. (G) 15. Erik Menezes 16. Hashemi K. 35. Hassan S. (G) 10. Kaku 99. Loulendo J. 20. Palacios M. 19. Sanabria M. 77. Sarki R. 28. Sosu S. 70. Trawri A.
Coaches
Azim M.	Ivic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Moumouni B. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
33', Park Yong-Woo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Infantino G. ↓, Kaku ↑,
46', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
46', Al Baloushi K. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
46', Meme 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Al Mawas M. ⚽, Mouddane A. (A),
60', Yahia Alwan A. 🟨,
63', Mohammed Dawood 🟨,
66', Salomoni F. ↓, Erik Menezes ↑,
69', Mouddane A. 🟨,
73', Barman A. ↓, Trawri A. ↑,
82', Butti K. ↓, Loulendo J. ↑,
83', Komari D. 🟨,
85', Ali H. ↓, Souza L. ↑,
90+3', Khudhair A. S. ↓, Banga S. C. ↑,
90+3', Youssef F. ↓, Al Tekreeti M. Y. H. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Souza L. ⚽, Al Mawas M. (A),

Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 126. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 27.

Recent matches Tseng is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tabilo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
13.02.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Esteghlal - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
30.01.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWT
- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
13.02.25	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Al Ain - Al Bataeh	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al Ain - Al-Rayyan	1:2 ✺
UAE Football League
30.01.25	Khor Fakkan - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
25.01.25	Al Ain - Al-Jazira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLTL

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