The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Zawraa 34.5%
Draw 29.8%
Al-Shorta Baghdad 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.3%
30%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30.1%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Al Zawraa - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Ali M. ⚽, Jabbar M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Yahya A. ⚽, Atiba L. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 2.
Al-Zawraa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Shorta is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Al-Zawraa has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Al-Zawraa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Zawraa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Al Shorta
11
5
5
1
12:5
7
20
6
Al Zawraa
11
5
3
3
15:9
6
18
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Zawraa - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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