Match Info

Stars League - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.55	7.7
	1.31	4.73	7.24
	1.34	4.71	7.35	Watch
	1.3	4.33	8
	1.4	4.36	7.27
	1.41	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.46 ↑ (3.98)	7.33 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
67.3%

Draw
20.3%

Al-Gharraf
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

23%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Qasim A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 14).

Al-Shorta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Gharraf is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Shorta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Shorta Baghdad - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 64.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
05.05.26	Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Qasim	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTWT
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Duhok - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
04.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1

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