Match Info
Stars League - Round 18Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
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Al-Naft |
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Al-Shorta Baghdad |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.75 |
3.3 |
1.65 |
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4.74 |
3.36 |
1.66 |
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5.02 |
3.65 |
1.61 |
 Watch |
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4.8 |
3.1 |
1.67 |
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4.94 |
3.38 |
1.66 |
Watch |
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4.33 |
3.14 |
1.58 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(3.53) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
1.64 ↓
(1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Naft
18.7% | Draw
26.8% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Naft's form might have worsened.Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Al Naft - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Al Mawas M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 1, Lawend H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.In recent matches, Al-Naft has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Al-Shorta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Al-Shorta could have a small edge in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 15.06.25 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft | 4:0 | | 31.10.24 | Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad | 0:2 | | 25.04.24 | Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad | 1:1 | | 02.12.23 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft | 0:1 | | 07.04.23 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft | 1:0 | | 24.10.22 | Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad | 1:2 | | 08.03.22 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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