Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 32

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)


	Al-Talaba		Naft Al-Wasat

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	6.75
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.41	4.24	7.06
	1.41	4.24	7.06
	1.37	4.25	7.65	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	4.21 ↑ (4)	7.09 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
65.4%

Draw
21.7%

Naft Al-Wasat
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

17.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Naft Al-Wasat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Talaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Wasat than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Wasat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Talaba - Naft Al Wasat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gawad M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Abdulhussein A. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Ahmed H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
26.05.24	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
08.05.24	Najaf - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Al-Talaba - Amanat Baghdad	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Naft Al-Wasat
Iraqi Premier League
25.05.24	Naft Al-Wasat - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Naft Al-Wasat - Najaf	1:2 ✺
16.05.24	Newroz - Naft Al-Wasat	4:3 ✺
04.05.24	Naft Al-Wasat - Karbala	2:2 ✺
01.05.24	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Wasat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
15.12.23	Naft Al-Wasat - Al-Talaba	0:0
15.12.22	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Wasat	1:1
12.12.20	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Wasat	2:2
29.07.13	Al-Talaba - Naft Al-Wasat	0:1

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