Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 33

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: King Abdul Aziz Stadium (Mecca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
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Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
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Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com


	Al-Wahda Mecca		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.75	1.33
	9.75	7	1.22
	7.2	5.8	1.31
	7.42	6.33	1.31
	7.62	6.31	1.29	Watch
	9.5	6	1.22
	8.05	5.85	1.27	Watch
	7.2	5.8	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.91 ↓ (9.5)	6.11 ↓ (6.75)	1.28 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda Mecca
11.8%

Draw
15.3%

Al-Hilal
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

13.6%

76.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda Mecca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Al Wahda Mecca - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Al-Wahda will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Al Rashidi A. (G) 2. Al Muwallad S. 5. El Yamiq J. 17. Al Hafith A. (C) 13. Al Alaeli M. 35. Al Makahasi M. 18. Bguir S. 10. Bacuna J. 8. Al Haji A. 24. Noor A. 9. Ighalo O.	37. Bono (G) 4. Al Dawsari K. 3. Koulibaly K. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 24. Al Harbi M. 8. Neves R. 77. Malcom 15. Al Qahtani M. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 16. Al Dawsari N. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C)
Substitutes
44. Abdullah Ambadu R. 60. Al Harbi S. (G) 19. Al Qahtani S. 11. Amyn Y. 4. Bakshween W. 6. Cretu A. 77. Khodari M. 22. Makki A. 80. Naji Y.	7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 21. Al Owais M. (G) 34. Barnawi S. 39. Hadhood A. 28. Kanno M. 9. Mitrovic A. 33. Muhaysh M. A. 87. Tambakti H.
Coaches
Carreno D.	Al Shalhoub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Al Haji A. 🟨,
42', Al Dawsari S. 🟨,
45+1', Al Alaeli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Noor A. ⚽, Bacuna J. (A),
60', Al Alaeli M. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
60', Noor A. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
60', Al Muwallad S. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
65', Al Qahtani M. ↓, Mitrovic A. ↑,
66', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
66', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
79', Bguir S. ↓, Makki A. ↑,
79', Koulibaly K. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
83', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
85', Al Haji A. ↓, Bakshween W. ↑,
86', Malcom ↓, Al Ghannam K. ↑,
89', Al Makahasi M. 🟨,
90+2', Al Rashidi A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Neves R. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 0.

In recent matches, Al-Wahda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Hilal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:49. (average 0.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Hilal - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 76.68%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda Mecca
Saudi Professional League
15.05.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWWLW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
16.05.25	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	3:4 ✺
12.05.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Orobah	4:0 ✺
07.05.25	Al Raed - Al-Hilal	3:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Al-Hilal - Gwangju	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.01.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda Mecca	4:1
27.05.24	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal	1:2
15.12.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:0
Saudi King Cup
12.05.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 penalties
Saudi Professional League
02.03.23	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal	3:3
16.09.22	Al-Hilal - Al-Wahda Mecca	3:0
11.03.21	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal	2:4

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