Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Zabeel Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Germany	Sportdigital+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	ESPN
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Philippines	Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Al Wasl		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	3.81	4.17	1.81
	4.33	4.2	1.62
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.88)	4.19 ↑ (3.38)	1.72 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Wasl
23%

Draw
22.4%

Al-Hilal
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Wasl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Wasl's form might have worsened.

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Wasl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Al Wasl - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Al Wasl will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zniti A. (G) 19. Uchino T. 4. Bouftini S. 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 25. Perez A. 12. Saleh A. 6. Sidibe S. 20. Poblete G. 31. Gimenez N. 17. Caio Canedo 10. Lima F. (C)	21. Al Owais M. (G) 16. Al Dawsari N. 3. Koulibaly K. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 20. Cancelo J. 28. Kanno M. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 27. Kaio Cesar 99. Al Hamdan A. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 11. Marcos Leonardo
Substitutes
3. Al Mheiri Y. 1. Al Senani K. (G) 23. Al Zaabi T. 44. Awad S. 9. Diallo A. 18. Ganaer M. 30. Joao Pedro 14. Rodrigo 27. Rodriguez V. 7. Saleh A. 77. Santos J. 11. Suroor M.	4. Al Dawsari K. 38. Al Ghamil T. M. 7. Al Ghannam K. 24. Al Harbi M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 88. Al Yami H. 37. Bono (G) 77. Malcom 8. Neves R. 87. Tambakti H.
Coaches
Milojevic M.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Jesus J. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
23', Saleh A. 🟨,
26', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
32', Perez A. 🟨,
35', Al Bulayhi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Al Hamdan A. (A),
59', Al Bulayhi A. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
65', Saleh A. ↓,
70', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Malcom ↑,
70', Caio Canedo ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
70', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
78', Uchino T. ↓, Awad S. ↑,
78', Poblete G. ↓, Suroor M. ↑,
78', Gimenez N. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
86', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
86', Cancelo J. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
90+6', Awad S. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Davidson is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Loyola IL is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Loyola IL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Davidson won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 261:258 (average 65.3:64.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Davidson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 139:126 (average 69.5:63).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
14.02.25	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Wasl	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.02.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Wasl	4:0 ✺
UAE Football League
30.01.25	Al Wasl - Ittihad Kalba	1:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
26.01.25	Al Wasl - Ittihad Kalba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
14.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Damac - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.02.25	Al-Hilal - Persepolis	4:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
31.01.25	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	4:0 ✺
27.01.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTWWL

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