Match Info

UAE League - Round 15

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.55
	4.99	4.2	1.62
	4.88	4.18	1.6	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.57
	4.69	4.07	1.64	Watch
	5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.18)	4.04 ↑ (3.94)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
19%

Draw
22.9%

Al Wasl
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Al Nasr - Al Wasl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Nasr will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al Wasl will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Wasl: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Wasl will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shambih A. (G) 15. Saatci S. 4. Glauber 22. Hoibraaten M. 55. Petrovic D. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 9. Santos J. 6. Mahdi H. 57. Faiz I. 28. Toure A. 13. Mierez R.	32. Ali M. (G) 79. Malheiro P. 4. Bouftini S. 34. Adryelson 16. Hugo 6. Sidibe S. 13. Tapia R. 10. Lima F. 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
8. Abdulbasit M. 53. Adli M. (G) 20. Agudelo K. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 23. Doumbia C. 10. Ghayedi M. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z. 2. Sultan S.	17. Abdulla S. (G) 1. Al Senani K. (G) 88. Al Shamsi A. 44. Awad S. 25. Gabriel Vareta 30. Palacios Alzate B. 96. Renato Junior 12. Saleh A. 19. Serginho
Coaches
Jokanovic S.	Meral M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Santos J. ⚽, Mierez R. (A),
20', Mierez R. 🟨,
36', Faiz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Miguel Borja ⚽, Gimenez N. (A),
56', Mahdi H. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
57', Mierez R. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
60', Saleh A. ↓, Serginho ↑,
60', Toure A. ↓, Ghayedi M. ↑,
70', Lima F. ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
70', Hugo ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
73', Hoibraaten M. 🟨,
78', Santos J. ↓, Al Zaabi Z. ↑,
78', Saatci S. ↓, Agudelo K. ↑,
82', Malheiro P. 🟨,
84', Miguel Borja ↓, Renato Junior ↑,
90+6', Serginho 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Al Wasl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al Wasl is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Wasl	5	3	1	1	15:6	9	10
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
29.01.26	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:4 ✺
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWT
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
28.01.26	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl	3:1 ✺
07.01.26	Ittihad Kalba - Al Wasl	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Al Wasl - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
18.10.25	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	2:1
14.02.25	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	0:1
21.09.24	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	3:1
02.06.24	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	0:2
UAE Presidents Cup
17.05.24	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	4:0
UAE Football League
13.02.24	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	1:0
17.02.23	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	2:0

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