Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Zabeel Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Finland	Veikkaus TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
Vietnam	TV 360


	Al Wasl		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5.7	9.2
	1.23	5.75	11.08
	1.27	5.53	9.88	Watch
	1.33	4.4	7.5
	1.29	6.71	7.99	Watch
	1.26	5.33	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.44)	5.57 ↑ (4.33)	9.11 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Wasl
73.1%

Draw
16.7%

Al-Zawraa
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Wasl's performance.

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Zawraa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Wasl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Al Wasl - Al Zawraa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Wasl (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Wasl will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Senani K. (G) 79. Malheiro P. 25. Gabriel Vareta 34. Adryelson 16. Hugo 6. Sidibe S. 13. Tapia R. 10. Lima F. 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 9. Miguel Borja	12. Hassan J. (C) 3. Nasib A. 71. Jamous A. 8. Hashem A. 11. Ismael D. 14. Kadhim R. 6. Kadhim H. F. 17. Mohammad M. 10. Abdulkareem H. 49. Ibrahim 16. Nabeel K.
Substitutes
17. Abdulla S. (G) 3. Al Mheiri Y. 8. Al Zaabi T. 44. Awad S. 43. Issaoui T. 18. Janeer M. 83. Joao Alves 41. Kamara M. (G) 30. Palacios Alzate B. 96. Renato Junior 12. Saleh A. 19. Serginho	7. Ahmed H. 28. Aoraha A. 27. Fadhil Najafi S. M. 22. Hassan H. (G) 35. Jaafar H. 44. Khalaf A. J. (G) 25. Mahdi Al Saedi S. M. 15. Matheus 32. Mfede A. 19. Qasim M. 94. Riascos B.
Coaches
Vitoria R.	El-Nahhas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ibrahim ⚽, Abdulkareem H. (A),
41', Kadhim H. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Lima F. ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Palacios Alzate B. ⚽,
58', Saleh A. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Ibrahim ⚽, Nabeel K. (A),
69', Mohammad M. ↓, Matheus ↑,
70', Abdulkareem H. 🟨,
72', Tapia R. ↓, Janeer M. ↑,
72', Saleh A. ↓, Serginho ↑,
75', Ismael D. ↓, Mfede A. ↑,
75', Ibrahim ↓, Mahdi Al Saedi S. M. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Miguel Borja ⚽, Serginho (A),
80', Hugo ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
80', Gimenez N. ↓, Renato Junior ↑,
82', Nabeel K. ↓, Qasim M. ↑,
82', Abdulkareem H. ↓, Fadhil Najafi S. M. ↑,
82', Vitoria R. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Adryelson ⚽, Malheiro P. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
97', Miguel Borja ↓, Al Zaabi T. ↑,
108', Jamous A. 🟨,
109', 4 - 2, Adryelson ⚽, Malheiro P. (A),
111', Hashem A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-3. Second leg.

Al Wasl has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Zawraa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al Wasl is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Wasl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 1:4.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al Wasl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Al Wasl - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Wasl FC
AFC Champions League 2
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
UAE Football League
05.02.26	Al-Nasr - Al Wasl	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Wasl	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLWL
- Al-Zawraa
AFC Champions League 2
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:2 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
10.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	3:2
AFC Champions League
21.05.19	Al Wasl - Al-Zawraa	1:5
11.03.19	Al-Zawraa - Al Wasl	5:0

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