Match Info

Stars League - Round 16

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Al-Naft		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.98	2.18
	3.65	2.72	2.16
	3.11	2.7	2.5	Watch
	3.5	2.63	2.15
	3.33	3.08	2.26	Watch
	3.66	2.71	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.71)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
26.7%

Draw
32.4%

Al-Zawraa
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.5%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Al Naft - Al Zawraa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.

Recent performances by Al-Naft have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Zawraa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Zawraa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Zawraa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
28.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Naft - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLW
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
28.01.26	Duhok - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
02.07.25	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	2:1
15.01.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	3:1
04.07.24	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	1:3
31.12.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	1:1
24.04.23	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	1:2
25.11.22	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	2:2
28.05.22	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	2:2

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