Match Info

Stars League - Round 22

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Karma		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.15	4.75
	1.52	3.42	5.96
	1.55	3.51	6.21	Watch
	1.53	3.25	6
	1.54	3.44	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)	5.82 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
57.6%

Draw
26.9%

Al-Gharraf
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

28.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Karma's performance.

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Karma - Al Gharraf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Al-Gharraf (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Karma will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Karma will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Karma (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Al-Gharraf (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Hussein A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Abdelkader A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Agbotcho M. F. (Own goal),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
07.03.26	Al-Karma - Arbil	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karma	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTT
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
06.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Zakho - Al-Gharraf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Duhok	4:3 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.12.25	Al-Gharraf - Al-Karma	0:1

Upcoming Matches