Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Correcaminos UAT 2

	1	X	2
	1.08	8.25	13.5
	1.08	8	22
	1.07	10.05	19.23
	1.07	9.23	20	Watch
	1.05	9	23
	1.08	8	19.5
	1.08	8	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.31)	8.65 ↑ (5)	19.89 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
84.9%

Draw
10.5%

Correcaminos UAT 2
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.3%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

16.9%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ontiveros J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Reyes Olguin J. I. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Alacranes de Durango is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:2 (average 2.5:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Alacranes de Durango won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tigres de Álica	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:4 ✺
30.10.24	Alacranes de Durango - Agricultores de Guasave	4:1 ✺
25.10.24	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 penalties ✺
20.10.24	Tecos FC - Alacranes de Durango	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLL
- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Colima	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Canamy - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:3 ✺
26.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
16.10.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Correcaminos UAT 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2
13.10.23	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:0
09.04.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:4
26.11.21	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1
15.03.20	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
18.10.19	Alacranes de Durango - Correcaminos UAT 2	4:0

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