Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Los Cabos United

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.13	4.09
	1.71	3.81	4.27	Watch
	1.7	3.94	3.9	Watch
	2.25	3.65	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.21)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	3.72 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
50.5%

Draw
24.2%

Los Cabos United
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

23.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Los Cabos United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Cabos United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 2.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alacranes de Durango won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alacranes de Durango won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Tecos FC - Alacranes de Durango	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Irapuato - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTT
- Los Cabos United
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.09.25	Los Cabos United - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Colima - Los Cabos United	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Tuzos UAZ - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Los Cabos United - Zapotlanejo	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
01.02.25	Los Cabos United - Alacranes de Durango	1:2
27.09.24	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	2:0
18.05.24	Los Cabos United - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
15.05.24	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	0:1
15.01.24	Alacranes de Durango - Los Cabos United	0:0
12.08.23	Los Cabos United - Alacranes de Durango	0:0

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