Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Irapuato

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.44	2.64	Watch
	2.39	3.53	2.73	Watch
	2.37	3.55	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
39%

Draw
26.5%

Irapuato
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-3%)

Alacranes de Durango - Irapuato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Pucheta J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Rangel J. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Irapuato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Alacranes de Durango have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.04.25	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:3 ✺
18.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWL
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.04.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Irapuato	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Irapuato - Deportiva Venados	3:1 ✺
24.03.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	La Piedad - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Irapuato - Petroleros Salamanca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

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