Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.46	1.65
	4.42	3.22	1.84	Watch
	4.51	3.7	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (6.24)	3.46 ↓ (4.26)	1.71 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
20.6%

Draw
26.3%

Alacranes de Durango
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

21%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tritones Vallarta's performance.

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alacranes de Durango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Tritones Vallarta (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tritones Vallarta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 1.

Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alacranes de Durango is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tritones Vallarta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tritones Vallarta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.08.25	Tritones Vallarta - La Piedad	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Colima - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Tritones Vallarta - San Juan de Aragón	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Faraones de Texcoco - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.08.25	Tecos FC - Alacranes de Durango	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Irapuato - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.01.25	Alacranes de Durango - Tritones Vallarta	0:1
07.09.24	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
04.05.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tritones Vallarta	6:0
01.05.24	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	0:1
05.04.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tritones Vallarta	1:1
04.11.23	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	1:1
29.01.22	Tritones Vallarta - Alacranes de Durango	1:0

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