The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alajuelense 35.6%
Draw 29.4%
Deportivo Saprissa 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
34.9%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
36.6%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Saprissa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Saprissa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Saprissa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Saprissa (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saprissa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 22. Matarrita R. 21. Molina Y. 42. Ruiz J. 15. Samadian F. 5. Borges C. (C) 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 24. Salazar A. 18. Cisneros R. 99. Michel K.
40. Madriz A. (G) 27. Taylor S. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 3. Arboine P. 21. Escobar F. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. (C) 8. Guzman D. 23. Paradela L. 25. Acuna S. 24. Sinclair O.
Coaches
Rescalvo I.
Medford H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+14', 0 - 1, Sinclair O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Acuna S. ⚽,
53', Taylor S. 🟨,
56', Parkins R. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
56', Ruiz J. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
56', Perez C. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
58', Matarrita R. 🟨,
59', Taylor S. ↓, Taylor Dosman G. G. ↑,
63', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
72', Torres G. ↓, Arboine K. ↑,
72', Guzman D. ↓, Padilla S. ↑,
79', Michel K. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
80', Salazar A. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
81', McDonald K. 🟨,
83', Sinclair O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Paradela L. ↓, Carvajal J. ↑,
85', McDonald K. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
Costa-rica
Usa
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Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 
Matarrita R. 
Cisneros R. 
Escobar F. 
Torres M. (C) 
Paradela L. 
Rescalvo I. 
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