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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Saprissa 44.6%
Draw 29.8%
Cartagines 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
29.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
30.5%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Saprissa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Madriz A. (G) 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 3. Arboine P. 21. Escobar F. 5. Mora J. 8. Guzman D. (C) 31. Padilla S. 28. Torres G. 26. Soto A. 23. Paradela L. 24. Sinclair O.
1. Briceno K. (C) 18. Barahona C. 20. Mesen D. 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 7. Moran M. 31. Morera G. M. 15. Flores L. 13. Gaete J. 9. Tepa 22. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
13. Alfaro I. (G) 19. Arboine K. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 39. Barahona A. 53. Carvajal J. 50. Elizondo M. 52. Gonzalez A. 42. Gonzalez J. 11. Hernandez B. 35. O'Rourke I. (G) 14. Rodriguez A. 27. Taylor S.
26. Alfaro B. 11. Alfaro L. 16. Castro G. 2. Cordero R. 21. Cortes J. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 8. Lopez D. 17. Lopez Y. 6. Montero C. 33. Moya C. (G) 12. Quiros J. 39. Villalobos M.
Coaches
Medford H.
Villatoro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Morera G. M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Sinclair O. ⚽, Torres G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gaete J. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
46', Sinclair O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Tepa ⚽, Barahona C. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Castro G. ⚽, Hernandez A. (A),
61', Mora J. ↓, Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ↑,
62', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Quiros J. ↑,
65', Soto A. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
65', Padilla S. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
71', Hernandez B. ↓, Arboine K. ↑,
75', Moran M. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
75', Morera G. M. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
78', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
84', Arboine P. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Guzman D. ⚽, Paradela L. (A),
90', Hernandez A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
90', Taylor Dosman G. G. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 3.
Saprissa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cartagines is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Saprissa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Saprissa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Saprissa won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.7:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Cartagines - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.