The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Tula 29.1%
Draw 31%
Torpedo Moscow 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
29.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
30.8%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Tula's form might have worsened.
Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 14. Brnovic M. 35. Enin I. 19. Glushkov N. 17. Gorbunov I. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 45. Karmaev N. 11. Magomedov R. 4. Penchikov D. 21. Razdorskikh N. 8. Shamkin D.
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 17. Berkovsky I. 4. Borodin S. (C) 2. Bozov N. 33. Camara M. 21. Galoyan A. 79. Kashtanov A. 44. Kornyushin D. 5. Moskvichev V. 24. Pogosov A. 99. Shevchenko G.
Substitutes
82. Alekhin A. 25. Biryukov A. 9. Davidyan D. 71. Efremov A. 44. Isaenko O. 23. Melekestsev T. 77. Plotnikov D. 7. Tamarindo 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 10. Zhigulev I.
8. Ajibona U. 11. Apekov R. 84. Churilov V. 97. Curic M. 19. Isadibirov A. 3. Ivankov A. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 27. Orekhov A. 90. Roganovic B. 10. Tsypchenko D.
Coaches
Gunko D.
Storozhuk A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Moskvichev V. ↓, Orekhov A. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Penchikov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bozov N. ↓, Roganovic B. ↑,
46', Berkovsky I. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
59', Orekhov A. 🟨,
60', Galoyan A. ↓, Tsypchenko D. ↑,
62', Karmaev N. ↓, Plotnikov D. ↑,
67', Borodin S. 🟨,
73', Magomedov R. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
73', Gorbunov I. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑,
75', Pogosov A. ↓, Ajibona U. ↑,
80', Apekov R. 🟨,
81', Shamkin D. 🟨,
86', Glushkov N. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
86', Brnovic M. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
89', Ajibona U. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 0.
In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Torpedo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Torpedo Moscow: 5.22% Arsenal Tula: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Torpedo Moscow
12
6
3
3
21:9
12
21
12
Arsenal Tula
12
3
4
5
12:22
-10
13
Last Results with these Odds
Arsenal Tula - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Torpedo Moscow - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Russia
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Melikhov A. (G) 
Brnovic M. 
Camara M. 
Galoyan A. 
Shevchenko G. 
Tamarindo 
Ajibona U. 
Curic M. 
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