Match Info

Super Lig - Round 38

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: GAİN Park Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Alanyaspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.5	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.7
	1.84	4.13	3.59
	1.89	4.1	3.78
	1.84	4.2	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.82	4.28	3.78	Watch
	1.84	4.13	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)	4.05 ↑ (3.96)	3.68 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
51.1%

Draw
23.3%

Sivasspor
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

23.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Alanyaspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alanyaspor will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Karagoz Y. (G) 2. Yavuz B. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 8. Keskin E. 42. Makouta G. 17. Janvier N. 88. Ozdemir Y. 15. Usluoglu A. 52. Vilhena T. 7. Karaca E.	35. Vural A. (G) 23. Okumus A. 14. Camara S. 53. Basyigit E. 3. Ciftci U. 8. Charisis C. 58. Erdal Z. 46. Boke T. 25. Aksoy O. 22. Simic V. 55. Koita F.
Substitutes
30. Apaydin M. 14. Aydin I. 23. Bayram M. (G) 89. Ciftci E. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 38. Karademir Y. 1. Taskiran E. (G) 4. Toy U. M.	17. Bassan E. 30. Cigerci T. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 21. Gokay E. 11. Menig Q. 10. Pritchard A. 24. Rodrigues G. 41. Sarman S. (G) 88. Seker T.
Coaches
Pereira J.	Calimbay R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Keskin E. ⚽, Balkovec J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Koita F. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
46', Aksoy O. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Usluoglu A. ⚽, Janvier N. (A),
67', Vilhena T. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
69', Simic V. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
77', Keskin E. ↓, Hadergjonaj F. ↑,
83', Boke T. ↓, Menig Q. ↑,
84', Erdal Z. ↓, Seker T. ↑,
87', Karagoz Y. ↓, Bayram M. ↑,
87', Aliti F. ↓, Toy U. M. ↑,
87', Usluoglu A. ↓, Karademir Y. ↑,

Preview

Sivasspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 1.

Alanyaspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sivasspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alanyaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alanyaspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Aksoy F. (Yellow Cards) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Lima N. (Yellow Cards) Richard (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Bieganski J. (Injury) Manaj R. (Inactive) Moutoussamy S. (Yellow Cards) Nikolic D. (Injury) Paluli M. (Red Card) Sonko Sundberg N. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
25.05.25	Konyaspor - Alanyaspor	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
09.05.25	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Alanyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
18.05.25	Samsunspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Galatasaray - Sivasspor	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sivasspor - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.01.25	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:1
09.03.24	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:2
28.10.23	Alanyaspor - Sivasspor	1:2
31.01.23	Alanyaspor - Sivasspor	0:3
22.08.22	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
11.05.22	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
25.04.22	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:0

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