Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Albacete B		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.46	5.19
	2.54	3.05	2.78	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5
	1.62	3.45	5.14
	1.64	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.66)	4.64 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete B
52.1%

Draw
27.8%

Illescas
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete B's form might have worsened.

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete B than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albacete B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-5%)

Albacete B - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Albacete B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Illescas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Albacete B is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Albacete B will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albacete B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.12.25	Manchego - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Albacete B - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Albacete B - Sonseca	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	La Solana - Albacete B	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT
- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.12.25	Illescas - La Solana	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Illescas	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Illescas - Cazalegas	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Huracán Balazote - Illescas	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Illescas - Guadalajara B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
24.04.22	Albacete B - Illescas	1:2
12.12.21	Illescas - Albacete B	2:0
09.02.20	Albacete B - Illescas	2:1
18.09.19	Illescas - Albacete B	2:1

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