The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albacete Balompié 40.5%
Draw 28.3%
Eldense 31.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
26.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
27.5%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Albacete Balompié - Eldense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Marino D. (G) 2. Lorenzo 24. Vallejo J. 22. Lopez L. 21. Neva C. 6. Pacheco A. 17. Corpas J. 18. Ortuno S. 14. San Bartolome V. 11. Valverde V. 12. Marin H. (C)
1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 5. Serradell A. G. 4. Smand F. 3. Larios J. 10. Fidel 14. Smith J. 15. Guirao C. 33. Olabarrieta A. 7. Rastrojo J. 24. Martinez J.
Substitutes
4. Agus Medina 32. Albarracin A. 27. Bernabeu D. 10. Gonzalez R. 40. Jota Domingo 1. Marin C. (G) 19. Rubio A. 9. Soberon M. 28. Velilla A. 8. Villar J.
8. Bustillo M. 9. Carmona M. 19. Ibarrondo A. 13. Juanpa (G) 23. Martin J. 11. Nieto M. 34. Olaizola J. 2. Recio I. 29. Rodrigues D. 22. Yanda J.
Coaches
Etxeberria J.
Calleja J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
21', Corpas J. 🟨,
24', Smith J. 🟨,
33', Guirao C. 🟨,
33', Fidel 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Marin H. ⚽, Valverde V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rastrojo J. ↓, Carmona M. ↑,
46', Smith J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
51', Vallejo J. 🟨,
54', Martinez J. 🟨,
62', Fidel ↓, Nieto M. ↑,
62', Martinez J. ↓, Bustillo M. ↑,
63', Marin H. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
63', San Bartolome V. ↓, Agus Medina ↑,
69', Valverde V. ↓, Bernabeu D. ↑,
71', Pacheco A. 🟨,
73', Lorenzo 🟨,
81', Guirao C. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
82', Lorenzo ↓, Villar J. ↑,
82', Pacheco A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2.
Albacete is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Eldense has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Albacete could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Albacete has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Albacete holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Albacete: Capi
(Injury)
Gamez F.
(Injury)
Moreno J.
(Knee Injury)
Munir El Haddadi
(Injury)
Obeng S.
(Injury)
Pepe
(Injury)
Puertas A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Eldense: Lopez R.
(Injury)
Ruiz D.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Eldense: Cabanes P.
(Injury)
Macho G.
(Injury)
Rubio W.
(Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Eldense in today's match, at odds of 3.07.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Albacete has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Albacete against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Eldense
11
4
2
5
13:15
-2
14
22
Albacete
11
1
1
9
8:22
-14
4
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now
Eldense: 0.8% Albacete: 0.07%
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Eldense - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.