Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 5, Movistar Plus+


	Albacete Balompié		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.62	4	4.9	Watch
	1.65	4.13	5.07
	1.64	4.15	5.01	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.61	4.37	4.79	Watch
	1.62	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.47)	4.07 ↓ (4.51)	4.84 ↓ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
57.6%

Draw
23%

Ferrol
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albacete Balompié's form might have worsened.

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albacete Balompié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Albacete Balompié - Ferrol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Albacete Balompié will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivero C. (G) 15. Touaizi N. 23. Pepe 27. Aguilar Lopez G. 4. Agus Medina 21. Saenz P. 17. Melendez A. 18. Villar J. 22. Morcillo J. 35. Kofane C. M. 19. Javier Marton	13. Yoel (G) 3. Correa R. 4. Puric A. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 8. Pena H. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
3. Alcedo J. 10. Fidel 7. Garcia J. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 9. Marin H. 5. Moreno J. 20. Pacheco A. 6. Rai 2. Rodriguez A. 29. Rueda J.	7. Borrego C. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 11. Nacho 25. Ruiz J. (G) 19. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Touaizi N. ⚽,
45', Gimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Saenz P. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
60', Morcillo J. ↓, Fidel ↑,
63', Touaizi N. 🟨,
65', Kofane C. M. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
65', Javier Marton ↓, Marin H. ↑,
66', Pena H. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
71', Puric A. 🟨,
77', Puric A. 🟨,
81', Touaizi N. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
82', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
82', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
83', Dorrio J. ↓, Nacho ↑,
87', Castro D. 🟥,
89', 2 - 0, Marin H. ⚽,
90', Martinez B. 🟨,
90', Sene J. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Ferrol is Relegated to

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Albacete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Albacete is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Albacete: Costa J. (Red Card) Garcia H. J. (Knee Injury) Lazo J. (Injury) Rodriguez R. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Blanco R. (Leg Injury) Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Perea L. (Heel Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.25	Levante - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Albacete Balompié - Huesca	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	5:1 ✺
26.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Elche - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.25	Ferrol - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Almería - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ferrol - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.24	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	1:4
25.03.24	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	1:1
03.12.23	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	5:4
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	2:1 ET

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