Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Ferrol		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.65	3.2	2.08	Watch
	4.01	3.28	2.08
	3.93	3.24	2.06	Watch
	3.89	3.28	2.04	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
25.1%

Draw
29.2%

Zaragoza
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.4%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ferrol - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ferrol (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 11. Nacho 16. Manzanara F. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 14. Gelardo A. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 8. Pena H. 20. Gimenez A.	13. Poussin G. (G) 14. Francho 24. Lopez L. 3. Jair 4. Tasende D. 29. Sans P. 21. Moya T. 16. Arriaga K. 10. Guti R. 9. Gomez D. 7. Soberon M.
Substitutes
21. Blanco R. 7. Borrego C. 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	23. Aketxe A. 20. Ares A. 11. Bazdar S. 40. Calavia C. (G) 19. Calero I. 5. Clemente E. 25. Femenias J. (G) 33. Liso A. 2. Luna M. 22. Mari A. 17. Nieto C. 15. Vital B.
Coaches
Menendez A.	Gabi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Guti R. ⚽, Arriaga K. (A),
8', Arriaga K. 🟨,
25', Moya T. 🟨,
37', Gimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arriaga K. ↓, Ares A. ↑,
46', Soberon M. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
46', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
46', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Ares A. ⚽, Tasende D. (A),
61', Sene J. (Pen),
61', 1 - 2, Sene J. ⚽,
61', Dorrio J. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
63', Gomez D. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
64', Gelardo A. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
69', Sans P. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
78', Nacho 🟨,
83', Moya T. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
84', Manzanara F. 🟨,
89', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Recent form of Ferrol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zaragoza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zaragoza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Naldo (Yellow Cards) Perea L. (Heel Injury) Puric A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
29.04.25	Almería - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ferrol - Eldense	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
07.04.25	Elche - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Levante - Zaragoza	5:2 ✺
12.04.25	Zaragoza - Eibar	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Zaragoza - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0
19.05.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	2:2
25.09.23	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:0

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