Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, TV Canaria, TVG 2


	Tenerife		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.6	3.45	5.5
	1.59	3.59	6.08
	1.64	3.47	5.9	Watch
	1.6	3.2	5.5
	1.64	3.38	5.23
	1.6	3.25	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)	5.62 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
56.8%

Draw
27%

Ferrol
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

25.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

24.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tenerife - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 19. Alvarez C. 20. Manjam A. 16. Sanz A. (C) 15. Fabricio 10. Gil N. 18. Enric 22. Valles G.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 18. Concha D. 8. Gorostidi A. 10. Pascu 6. Gonzalez F. 11. Dacosta R. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
3. Aguero F. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 6. Juanjo 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 21. Mateu M. 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 5. Yaakobishvili A.	4. Artetxe M. 19. Azkune E. 12. Chema 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J. 21. Tavares M. 14. Tejera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Enric 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Dacosta R. 🟨,
60', Valles G. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
65', Dacosta R. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
70', Miguel 🟨,
71', Parera P. M. 🟨,
75', Pascu ↓, Tejera S. ↑,
75', Gonzalez F. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
77', Alvarez C. 🟨,
81', Enric ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
81', Manjam A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
85', Leon J. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Zalaya A. ⚽,
87', Martin D. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', Concha D. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
90+4', Gimenez A. ↓, Mardones A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Tenerife is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferrol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tenerife is the team to beat.

We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.02.26	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Zamora - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ponferradina - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Ferrol - Tenerife	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1
05.05.24	Tenerife - Ferrol	2:0
17.12.23	Ferrol - Tenerife	3:1

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