Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Albacete Balompié		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.58	3.3	2.58
	2.67	3.46	2.7
	2.97	2.33	3.35	Watch
	2.65	3.42	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)	3.24 ↓ (3.51)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
35.7%

Draw
29.2%

Valladolid
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Albacete Balompié - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 25%). Valladolid (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Valladolid (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 20%). Valladolid (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (G) 15. Gamez F. 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 7. Puertas A. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 17. Melendez A. 3. Gomez J. 10. Betancor J. 4. Agus Medina	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 24. Juric S. (C) 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 11. Ndiaye A. 21. Ponceau J. 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
26. Capi 19. Escriche D. 14. Garcia H. J. 16. Lazo J. 2. Lorenzo 1. Marino D. (G) 22. Morcillo J. 5. Moreno J. 11. Valverde V. 18. Villar J.	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 27. Garriel I. 32. Koke 6. Lachuer M. 28. Moreno X. 22. Peter Federico 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Melendez A. 🟨,
41', Juric S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Biuk S. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
46', Melendez A. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Agus Medina ⚽, Rodriguez R. (A),
63', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
63', Ponceau J. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
64', Gamez F. 🟨,
69', Alejo I. ↓, Trilli ↑,
71', Gamez F. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
71', Gomez J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
77', Bueno G. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
78', Betancor J. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
81', Puertas A. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Lazo J. ⚽, Morcillo J. (A),
90+3', Lazo J. 🟨,
90+3', Tomeo P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 2.

Recent form of Albacete has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valladolid is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valladolid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Albacete: Marin H. (Red Card) Pacheco A. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Chuki (Injury) Marcos Andre (Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Jaouab M. (Injury) Maroto M. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Cádiz - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Almería - Albacete Balompié	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLT
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Valladolid - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Castellón - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Valladolid - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.24	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:0
01.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:0
12.05.18	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	3:2
09.12.17	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	2:1
14.05.16	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	1:0
13.12.15	Albacete Balompié - Valladolid	0:1
28.03.15	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:1

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