Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Sesma Espinosa M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Albacete Balompié		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4
	1.9	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.33	4.6
	1.89	3.28	4.61	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.94	3.26	4.35	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.14)	3.31 ↑ (3.16)	4.26 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
49.5%

Draw
28.4%

Tenerife
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete Balompié's performance.

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete Balompié that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Albacete Balompié - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: Albacete Balompié will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (G) 29. Rueda J. 5. Ros J. 27. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Alcedo J. 4. Agus Medina 8. Rodriguez R. 18. Villar J. 21. Quiles A. 9. Marin H. 7. Garcia J.	13. Nadal T. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 4. Leon J. 12. Alves R. 3. Medrano F. 33. Martin Luis A. 5. Gonzalez S. (C) 8. Diarra Y. 20. Mesa M. 11. Cruz Luismi
Substitutes
14. Garcia H. J. 11. Lazo J. 22. Morcillo J. 34. Moreno M. 20. Pacheco A. 6. Rai 1. Rivero C. (G) 2. Rodriguez Perez A. 15. Touaizi N.	19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 18. Enric 32. Fernandez D. 14. Guerrero A. 27. Manjam A. 10. Moreno M. 31. Perez A. 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 34. Senhadji Y. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Mel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Gaya J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Marin H. (Pen),
35', Villar J. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
43', Medrano F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gaya J. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
46', Martin Luis A. ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,
52', Agus Medina 🟨,
66', Gonzalez S. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
73', Garcia J. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
74', Marin H. ↓, Touaizi N. ↑,
74', Rueda J. ↓, Rodriguez Perez A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Mesa M. ⚽, Senhadji Y. (A),
81', 2 - 1, Morcillo J. ⚽, Agus Medina (A),
82', Mesa M. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
85', Ros J. ↓, Garcia H. J. ↑,
86', Garcia H. J. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albacete won 1.

Albacete is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albacete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Albacete will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Albacete: Costa J. (Leg Injury) Fidel (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Albacete: Lazo J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Albacete won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:28 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	CE Europa - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Alfaro - Tenerife	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Tenerife - Málaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	1:0
09.09.23	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	2:0
04.02.23	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	1:0
09.10.22	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	1:1
Club Friendly
01.08.21	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.03.21	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	2:0
29.11.20	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	0:2

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