Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tenerife		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.3
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.71
	2.32	2.92	3.62	Watch
	1.95	3	4.2
	2.36	2.9	3.54	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.55 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.5%

Draw
32%

Málaga
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

31.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

30.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Tenerife - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 4. Leon J. 3. Medrano F. 11. Cruz Luismi 5. Gonzalez S. 33. Martin Luis A. 17. Rubio W. 18. Enric (C) 8. Diarra Y.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 5. Pastor A. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 19. Luismi 35. Ochoa A. 26. Antonito 25. Castel S. 24. Lobete J.
Substitutes
12. Alves R. 15. Bodiger Y. 32. Fernandez D. 14. Guerrero A. 27. Manjam A. 10. Moreno M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 31. Perez A. 9. Rodriguez A. 51. Rodriguez A. A. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 34. Senhadji Y.	17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 29. Merino I. 12. Molina M. 21. Rahmani Y. 18. Sanchez D. 11. Villodres K.
Coaches
Mel P.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Enric (Pen),
28', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
29', Medrano F. 🟨,
34', Enric 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juanpe ↓, Molina M. ↑,
53', Gaya J. 🟨,
57', Lobete J. ↓, Villodres K. ↑,
58', Mellot J. 🟨,
59', Rubio W. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
59', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
60', Puga C. 🟨,
68', Martin Luis A. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
73', Ochoa A. ↓, Dioni ↑,
73', Antonito ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
79', Gonzalez S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
80', Medrano F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
81', Molina M. 🟨,
82', Castel S. ↓, Lorenzo D. ↑,
90', Garcia V. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2.

Tenerife is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Málaga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tenerife will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Luismi (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.24	Granada - Tenerife	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tenerife - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Tenerife - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Castellón - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.24	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Cádiz - Málaga	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Málaga - Elche	0:3 ✺
20.09.24	Granada - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.01.23	Málaga - Tenerife	1:1
19.09.22	Tenerife - Málaga	3:1
15.05.22	Tenerife - Málaga	0:2
15.11.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Málaga - Tenerife	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:1
13.09.20	Tenerife - Málaga	2:0

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