Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 15

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Eldense		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.95
	2.35	3.25	3
	2.4	3.3	3.23
	2.35	3.24	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.34	3.32	3.09	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.24)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
40.4%

Draw
29%

Albacete Balompié
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

Eldense - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Albacete will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 14. Monsalve N. 23. Mateu M. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 24. Timor D. 6. Camarasa V. 17. Garcia V. 11. Ortuno J. 20. Chapela I.	13. Lizoain R. (G) 29. Rueda J. 14. Garcia H. J. 27. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Rodriguez Perez A. 4. Agus Medina 8. Rodriguez R. 6. Rai 22. Morcillo J. 9. Marin H. 21. Quiles A.
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 12. Geraldes F. 22. Grigore R. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 1. Martin D. (G) 3. Martos I. 10. Montes C. 27. Ogbuehi S. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U. 16. Youness	3. Alcedo J. 7. Garcia J. 34. Moreno M. 20. Pacheco A. 1. Rivero C. (G) 5. Ros J. 15. Touaizi N. 18. Villar J. 31. Willy
Coaches
Ponz D.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Lizoain R. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. (Pen),
30', Timor D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camarasa V. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Ortuno J. ⚽,
64', Rodriguez Perez A. ↓, Alcedo J. ↑,
64', Rai ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
64', Marin H. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', Timor D. ↓, Youness ↑,
70', Ortuno J. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
82', Morcillo J. ↓, Touaizi N. ↑,
82', Rodriguez R. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
83', Chapela I. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
90+3', Monsalve N. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eldense have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Eldense: Godoy A. (Leg Injury) Martos I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Albacete: Costa J. (Calf Injury) Fidel (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Albacete: Lazo J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.24	Granada - Eldense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Atlético Paso - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Córdoba - Eldense	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Eldense - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	CE Europa - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	3:3 ✺
24.10.24	Almería - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.04.24	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	0:1
19.12.23	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	2:3
04.08.22	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	1:1

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