Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga BPI Women - Round 17

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mergulhão (Nogueira do Cravo)


	Albergaria Durit		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.4
	6.1	4.24	1.45
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (5.73)	4.29 ↓ (4.5)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albergaria Durit
15%

Draw
21.2%

Valadares Gaia
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.6%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albergaria Durit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albergaria Durit than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Albergaria Durit - Valadares Gaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lockwood A. (G) 7. Freitas A. 5. Smaili B. 21. Ruess P. 55. Ribeiro F. 20. Costa M. 11. Rodrigues M. 12. Ibrahim A. 97. Mocholi T. 28. Luis L. (C) 19. Wesco B.	31. Seppi E. (C) 4. Aniwaa L. 2. Cherry M. 27. Barge I. 22. Monteiro S. 14. Da Costa A. 23. Strickland A. 78. Barbosa B. 13. Martinez M. 9. Lakip J. 16. Besugo N.
Substitutes
6. Alexandra Henriques 25. Couto M. 9. Lemos S. 10. Martins C. 18. Montenegro R. 14. Oliveira B. 2. Piazza A. 22. Pinheiro L. (G) 13. Rodrigues A.	18. Baleia M. 1. Carol (G) 8. Hahnel E. 7. Parkinson E. 6. Pinto M. 11. Santiago C. 77. Silva M. 88. Ventura E. 25. Vieira C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, Lakip J. ⚽, Besugo N. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Lakip J. ⚽, Barge I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Ibrahim A. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
61', Strickland A. ↓, Parkinson E. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Lakip J. ⚽, Besugo N. (A),
68', Ribeiro F. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
68', Mocholi T. ↓, Couto M. ↑,
68', Besugo N. ↓, Vieira C. ↑,
69', Barbosa B. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Lakip J. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
80', Da Costa A. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
81', Barge I. ↓, Hahnel E. ↑,
85', Rodrigues M. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
85', Wesco B. ↓, Lemos S. ↑,
86', Smaili B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 0.

Albergaria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valadares Gaia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Valadares Gaia have a series of home games.

In this match Valadares Gaia is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:17 (average 0.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Albergaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albergaria Durit
Taça de Portugal Women
15.02.25	Albergaria Durit - Torreense	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.02.25	Albergaria Durit - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Estoril Praia - Albergaria Durit	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Racing Power - Albergaria Durit	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Albergaria Durit - Damaiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLL
- Valadares Gaia Women
Taça de Portugal Women
15.02.25	Valadares Gaia - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
09.02.25	Valadares Gaia - Vilaverdense	8:0 ✺
02.02.25	Famalicão - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Valadares Gaia - Racing Power	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portugal Taça de Liga Women
27.10.24	Albergaria Durit - Valadares Gaia	1:1 penalties
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.10.24	Valadares Gaia - Albergaria Durit	5:0
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
08.09.24	Valadares Gaia - Albergaria Durit	1:0
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.04.24	Valadares Gaia - Albergaria Durit	1:0
25.11.23	Albergaria Durit - Valadares Gaia	2:4
19.03.23	Valadares Gaia - Albergaria Durit	0:0
30.10.22	Albergaria Durit - Valadares Gaia	1:1

Albergaria Durit - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide