Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259


	AlbinoLeffe		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.35	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.81
	2.36	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.75
	2.46	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.36	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.28)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.84 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
37.6%

Draw
30.3%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baldi G. (G) 3. Sciacca G. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 2. Barba B. 19. Agostinelli M. 5. Mandelli A. 8. Lombardi A. 77. Ballo L. 24. Simonelli T. 9. Stanzani L.	1. Vannucchi T. (G) 31. De Santis E. 57. Milillo A. 24. Rizzo F. 13. Cariolato F. 75. Bassi M. 17. Castegnaro L. 23. Bernardi E. 6. Lakti E. (C) 16. Moretti M. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
75. Botti M. 17. Ciko S. 71. Colombi A. 70. Desogus J. 21. Franchini F. 91. Gamba N. 1. Generali F. (G) 16. Gusu M. 22. Michielin M. (G) 18. Orfei A. 14. Sassi S. 33. Trapletti M.	12. Contarato E. (G) 21. Finizio D. 2. Fosu M. J. 26. Gambardella V. 30. Gatti C. 7. Lanzi E. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 27. Nenna A. 11. Penta M. 10. Romio J.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Di Donato D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sottini E. ⚽, Agostinelli M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Moretti M. ⚽, Bassi M. (A),
49', Rizzo F. ↓, Penta M. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Nanni N. ⚽, Bernardi E. (A),
61', Simonelli T. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
61', Sciacca G. ↓, Gusu M. ↑,
61', Ballo L. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
70', Moretti M. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
70', Nanni N. ↓, Romio J. ↑,
72', Agostinelli M. ↓, Sassi S. ↑,
83', Stanzani L. ↓, Gamba N. ↑,
85', Penta M. 🟨,
86', Castegnaro L. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
86', De Santis E. ↓, Fosu M. J. ↑,
88', Orfei A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 1.

AlbinoLeffe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Carpi	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTWL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0
05.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
04.01.25	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1
02.09.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
05.03.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
28.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0

AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide