Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	2.95	3.20
	2.2	2.92	3.3	Watch
	2.49	3.05	3.14
	2.19	3.03	3.34	Watch
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.37	3.03	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
40.6%

Draw
30.8%

Desenzano Calvina
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 31. De Santis E. 57. Milillo A. 75. Bassi M. 13. Cariolato F. 30. Gatti C. 17. Castegnaro L. 23. Bernardi E. 6. Lakti E. (C) 9. Mattioli A. 32. Nanni N.	1. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parlato M. 19. Pilati A. 6. Panelli T. 2. Milani L. 77. Liberati F. 15. De Francesco A. (C) 43. Lupano L. 24. Biondi K. 9. Santini C. 10. Millico V.
Substitutes
12. Contarato E. (G) 21. Finizio D. 2. Fosu M. J. 26. Gambardella V. 7. Lanzi E. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 16. Moretti M. 27. Nenna A. 11. Penta M. 24. Rizzo F. 10. Romio J.	20. Andreis D. 49. Baldi L. 12. Bastianoni F. (G) 23. Bono F. 22. Cassin M. (G) 3. Giorgi L. 7. Moscati M. 17. Onofrio S. 30. Procaccio A. 93. Reggiori P. 8. Tomaselli S. 34. Ubaldi L.
Coaches
Di Donato D.	Gaburro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Milillo A. 🟨,
59', Gatti C. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
59', Mattioli A. ↓, Penta M. ↑,
71', Bassi M. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
71', Nanni N. ↓, Romio J. ↑,
75', Liberati F. ↓, Moscati M. ↑,
76', Cariolato F. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Lupano L. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
83', Biondi K. ↓, Procaccio A. ↑,
85', Santini C. 🟨,
88', Panelli T. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Millico V. ⚽, Ubaldi L. (A),
90+1', Millico V. 🟨,
90+1', Santini C. ↓, Tomaselli S. ↑,
90+3', De Santis E. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Ubaldi L. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Romio J. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Desenzano has had a series of away games.

ArzignanoChiampo could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
7	Desenzano	9	3	4	2	8:7	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.39%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Trento - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trento	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Pro Vercelli - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Lecco - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 LWTTW

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide