The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elgin City 47.4%
Draw 25.3%
Stranraer 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
25.2%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
25.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Elgin City - Stranraer Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Stranraer will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Morrison J. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 22. MacIver J. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 24. Mackay L. 77. Scullion L. 26. Booth L. 9. Hester K. 11. Colloty O.
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 5. Nair K. 3. Ecrepont F. 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 14. Bruce Z. 12. Traynor A. 24. Mason S. 16. Plank D. (C)
Substitutes
25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 18. Cummings A. 10. Gallagher M. 23. Grant M. 14. Machado M. 1. Ritchie T. (G) 3. Towler E. 17. Willox K.
20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 22. Coll B. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 21. Gillie L. 11. Healy A. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Mason S. ⚽, Bruce Z. (A),
13', 0 - 2, McManus D. ⚽, Mason S. (A),
34', Nair K. 🟨,
35', Dunne E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Booth L. ⚽, MacIver J. (A),
45', 1 - 3, McManus D. ⚽, Traynor A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 4, Mason S. ⚽,
49', Scullion L. ↓, Gallagher M. ↑,
49', Colloty O. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
61', Grant M. 🟨,
63', Mackay L. ↓, Willox K. ↑,
69', Traynor A. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
70', Girvan K. ↓, Cairns O. ↑,
70', Hester K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
71', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
74', McManus D. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
81', 1 - 5, Dobbie L. ⚽,
81', Dunne E. ↓, Cameron C. ↑,
82', Dobbie L. ↓, Foster R. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 2.
Elgin has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stranraer shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Stranraer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Stranraer has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Elgin holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Elgin has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:27 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elgin against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Stranraer: 16.43% Elgin City: 11.71%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stranraer
9
5
2
2
17:8
9
17
3
Elgin City
9
4
2
3
25:16
9
14
Last Results with these Odds
Elgin City - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Stranraer - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Morrison J. (G) 
Colloty O. 
Mason S. 
Machado M. 
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