Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Albirex Niigata		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	3.75	6.25
	1.47	4.2	6.1
	1.45	3.95	6.8
	1.48	4.31	7.64
	1.44	3.6	7.5
	1.47	4.1	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)	3.99 ↑ (3.2)	7.11 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
63.5%

Draw
23.4%

Grulla Morioka
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

28.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albirex Niigata's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grulla Morioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albirex Niigata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	6.9%	6.9%

Albirex Niigata - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Albirex Niigata will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 20).

Niigata is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grulla Morioka is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
23.04.22	Albirex Niigata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Albirex Niigata - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
30.03.22	JEF United Chiba - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
20.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Grulla Morioka	5:0 ✺
16.04.22	Grulla Morioka - Oita Trinita	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Grulla Morioka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Blaublitz Akita - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
30.03.22	Fagiano Okayama - Grulla Morioka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

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