Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Roasso Kumamoto		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.15
	3.3	3.05	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.64	3.16	2.26
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.46	3.24	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.8)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	2.22 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
27.6%

Draw
30.4%

Albirex Niigata
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

34.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albirex Niigata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kumamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kumamoto have a series of guest games.

Niigata will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
30.03.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
26.03.22	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
21.03.22	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2 ✺
04.03.22	Omiya Ardija - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWTW
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
30.03.22	JEF United Chiba - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Albirex Niigata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
19.03.22	Albirex Niigata - Ventforet Kofu	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
04.03.22	Albirex Niigata - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.11.18	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	2:3
01.04.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Albirex Niigata	3:1

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