The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fagiano Okayama 33.1%
Draw 32.3%
Albirex Niigata 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
31.9%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
32.3%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
50%
14.3%
Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 2. Tatsuta Y. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 39. Sato R. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 50. Kato H. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. 22. Ichimi K.
23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 2. Geria J. 5. Fitzgerald M. 31. Horigome Y. 11. Danilo Gomes 22. Arai T. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 46. Kasai K.
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 45. Browne N. 19. Iwabuchi H. 33. Kamiya Yuta 21. Kawakami K. (G) 15. Kudo K. 99. Lucao 7. Takeuchi R. 88. Yanagi T.
35. Chiba K. 1. Fujita K. (G) 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Komi Y. 8. Miyamoto E. 13. Ochiai R. 28. Ota S. 33. Takagi Y. 9. Yamura K.
Coaches
Kiyama T.
Kimori D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Esaka A. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Hasegawa M. ⚽,
36', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Okumura J. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
58', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
58', Kasai K. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Ichimi K. (Pen),
67', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
67', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
78', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
78', Hoshi Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
81', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
81', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
89', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
90+2', Tatsuta Y. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 2.
Recent form of Okayama has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Niigata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Okayama has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H.
(Injury)
Ota S.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
China
Japan
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Brodersen S. (G) 
Tatsuta Y. 
Geria J. 
Danilo Gomes 
